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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 31 Oct 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

65%

Sporting CP

1.55

21%

Draw

4.73

14%

Alverca

7.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.34

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

3.39

1.05

Alverca xG

65%
21%
14%
Sporting CPDrawAlverca

1.55

65%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

7.03

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

35%

Sporting CP

2.87

10%

Alverca

10.35

Win to Nil

23%

Sporting CP

4.43

1%

Alverca

72.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.9 8.3 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.2 7.6 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 4.2 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.337
λ Away (xG) 1.053
Total xG 3.390
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.212
Sporting CP attack strength 1.374
Sporting CP defence strength 0.818
Alverca attack strength 1.061
Alverca defence strength 1.257
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 9