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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

56%

SC Braga

1.79

23%

Draw

4.26

21%

Tondela

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.72

0.97

Tondela xG

56%
23%
21%
SC BragaDrawTondela

1.79

56%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

38%

SC Braga

2.63

17%

Tondela

5.77

Win to Nil

21%

SC Braga

4.70

4%

Tondela

27.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.6 11.2 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.752
λ Away (xG) 0.966
Total xG 2.718
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.209
SC Braga attack strength 1.080
SC Braga defence strength 0.940
Tondela attack strength 0.850
Tondela defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0