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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

34%

SC Braga

2.90

27%

Draw

3.76

39%

Sporting CP

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.89

1.50

Sporting CP xG

34%
27%
39%
SC BragaDrawSporting CP

2.90

34%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

22%

SC Braga

4.47

25%

Sporting CP

4.04

Win to Nil

8%

SC Braga

12.97

10%

Sporting CP

10.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.3 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.3
1 7.7 11.6 8.7 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.4 8.1 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.5 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.497
Total xG 2.893
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.169
SC Braga attack strength 1.392
SC Braga defence strength 0.884
Sporting CP attack strength 1.447
Sporting CP defence strength 0.668
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58