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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

37%

SC Braga

2.69

31%

Draw

3.28

32%

Nacional

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.15

1.03

Nacional xG

37%
31%
32%
SC BragaDrawNacional

2.69

37%

Home win

3.28

31%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

36%

SC Braga

2.80

32%

Nacional

3.08

Win to Nil

13%

SC Braga

7.51

10%

Nacional

9.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 11.9 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 1.028
Total xG 2.153
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.186
SC Braga attack strength 1.048
SC Braga defence strength 0.979
Nacional attack strength 0.886
Nacional defence strength 0.821
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40