Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

51%

SC Braga

1.97

27%

Draw

3.69

22%

Moreirense

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.74

1.05

Moreirense xG

51%
27%
22%
SC BragaDrawMoreirense

1.97

51%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

35%

SC Braga

2.87

19%

Moreirense

5.40

Win to Nil

18%

SC Braga

5.67

4%

Moreirense

24.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.5 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.687
λ Away (xG) 1.055
Total xG 2.742
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 1.309
SC Braga attack strength 1.169
SC Braga defence strength 0.847
Moreirense attack strength 0.952
Moreirense defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44