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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

70%

SC Braga

1.43

18%

Draw

5.55

12%

Guimaraes

8.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.08

0.82

Guimaraes xG

70%
18%
12%
SC BragaDrawGuimaraes

1.43

70%

Home win

5.55

18%

Draw

8.23

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

44%

SC Braga

2.28

10%

Guimaraes

9.54

Win to Nil

31%

SC Braga

3.26

1%

Guimaraes

78.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.4 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.7 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.8 7.2 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 5.0 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.255
λ Away (xG) 0.822
Total xG 3.077
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.215
SC Braga attack strength 1.338
SC Braga defence strength 0.766
Guimaraes attack strength 0.883
Guimaraes defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56