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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

37%

SC Braga

2.71

28%

Draw

3.52

35%

GIL Vicente

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.30

1.13

GIL Vicente xG

37%
28%
35%
SC BragaDrawGIL Vicente

2.71

37%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

32%

SC Braga

3.09

31%

GIL Vicente

3.22

Win to Nil

12%

SC Braga

8.37

11%

GIL Vicente

9.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 11.3 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.8 13.3 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 7.8 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.169
λ Away (xG) 1.127
Total xG 2.296
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.232
SC Braga attack strength 1.167
SC Braga defence strength 0.989
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.925
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.748
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38