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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

62%

SC Braga

1.61

21%

Draw

4.75

17%

GIL Vicente

5.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.18

1.03

GIL Vicente xG

62%
21%
17%
SC BragaDrawGIL Vicente

1.61

62%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

5.98

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

36%

SC Braga

2.81

12%

GIL Vicente

8.54

Win to Nil

22%

SC Braga

4.52

2%

GIL Vicente

51.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.9 9.2 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.9 7.1 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.7 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.145
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 3.178
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.200
SC Braga attack strength 1.267
SC Braga defence strength 1.133
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.760
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54