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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 16 Dec 2024

18:45

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

44%

SC Braga

2.29

23%

Draw

4.26

33%

Famalicao

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.14

1.44

Famalicao xG

44%
23%
33%
SC BragaDrawFamalicao

2.29

44%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

24%

SC Braga

4.23

18%

Famalicao

5.46

Win to Nil

10%

SC Braga

9.67

6%

Famalicao

16.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 6.2 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.4 10.6 7.6 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.0 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.5 5.1 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.697
λ Away (xG) 1.442
Total xG 3.139
League avg home goals 1.395
League avg away goals 1.074
SC Braga attack strength 1.215
SC Braga defence strength 1.217
Famalicao attack strength 1.103
Famalicao defence strength 1.001
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47