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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

66%

SC Braga

1.52

19%

Draw

5.18

15%

Estrela

6.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.11

0.93

Estrela xG

66%
19%
15%
SC BragaDrawEstrela

1.52

66%

Home win

5.18

19%

Draw

6.70

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

39%

SC Braga

2.54

11%

Estrela

8.82

Win to Nil

26%

SC Braga

3.86

2%

Estrela

59.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.7 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 7.2 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 4.2 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.177
λ Away (xG) 0.931
Total xG 3.108
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.137
SC Braga attack strength 1.205
SC Braga defence strength 0.973
Estrela attack strength 0.842
Estrela defence strength 1.249
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67