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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

48%

SC Braga

2.06

24%

Draw

4.25

28%

Boavista

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.31

1.41

Boavista xG

48%
24%
28%
SC BragaDrawBoavista

2.06

48%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

24%

SC Braga

4.10

15%

Boavista

6.70

Win to Nil

12%

SC Braga

8.47

4%

Boavista

23.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.1 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.9 9.8 6.9 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.2 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 2.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.902
λ Away (xG) 1.412
Total xG 3.314
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.178
SC Braga attack strength 1.205
SC Braga defence strength 1.260
Boavista attack strength 0.951
Boavista defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52