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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 28 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

24%

SC Braga

4.22

28%

Draw

3.61

49%

Benfica

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.32

1.42

Benfica xG

24%
28%
49%
SC BragaDrawBenfica

4.22

24%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

24%

SC Braga

4.12

40%

Benfica

2.47

Win to Nil

6%

SC Braga

17.39

20%

Benfica

5.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 13.9 9.9 4.7 1.6 0.5
1 8.9 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.0 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.904
λ Away (xG) 1.416
Total xG 2.320
League avg home goals 1.363
League avg away goals 1.285
SC Braga attack strength 1.094
SC Braga defence strength 0.801
Benfica attack strength 1.376
Benfica defence strength 0.607
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49