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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

30%

SC Braga

3.35

24%

Draw

4.24

47%

Benfica

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.06

1.72

Benfica xG

30%
24%
47%
SC BragaDrawBenfica

3.35

30%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

18%

SC Braga

5.58

26%

Benfica

3.80

Win to Nil

5%

SC Braga

18.68

12%

Benfica

8.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 8.1 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
1 6.3 10.8 9.3 5.3 2.3 0.8
2 4.2 7.2 6.2 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 1.9 3.2 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.336
λ Away (xG) 1.720
Total xG 3.056
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.217
SC Braga attack strength 1.256
SC Braga defence strength 0.926
Benfica attack strength 1.526
Benfica defence strength 0.823
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67