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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

64%

SC Braga

1.57

19%

Draw

5.27

18%

Arouca

5.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.44

1.14

Arouca xG

64%
19%
18%
SC BragaDrawArouca

1.57

64%

Home win

5.27

19%

Draw

5.71

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

32%

SC Braga

3.11

10%

Arouca

10.00

Win to Nil

20%

SC Braga

4.90

2%

Arouca

57.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 7.4 8.4 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 9.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.5 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.8 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.303
λ Away (xG) 1.136
Total xG 3.439
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.157
SC Braga attack strength 1.347
SC Braga defence strength 0.985
Arouca attack strength 0.997
Arouca defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62