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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

49%

SC Braga

2.04

24%

Draw

4.08

27%

Arouca

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.78

1.14

Arouca xG

49%
24%
27%
SC BragaDrawArouca

2.04

49%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

32%

SC Braga

3.14

19%

Arouca

5.15

Win to Nil

16%

SC Braga

6.42

5%

Arouca

19.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.1 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.6 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.5 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.2 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.639
λ Away (xG) 1.144
Total xG 2.783
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.124
SC Braga attack strength 1.149
SC Braga defence strength 0.903
Arouca attack strength 1.127
Arouca defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60