Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

18%

Santa Clara

5.55

28%

Draw

3.52

54%

Sporting CP

1.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

0 – 2

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.29

1.51

Sporting CP xG

18%
28%
54%
Santa ClaraDrawSporting CP

5.55

18%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

1.87

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

22%

Santa Clara

4.54

46%

Sporting CP

2.17

Win to Nil

4%

Santa Clara

25.21

25%

Sporting CP

4.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 15.3 11.6 5.8 2.2 0.7
1 7.9 11.9 9.0 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.1 4.6 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
3 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.777
λ Away (xG) 1.513
Total xG 2.290
League avg home goals 1.325
League avg away goals 1.322
Santa Clara attack strength 0.847
Santa Clara defence strength 0.848
Sporting CP attack strength 1.351
Sporting CP defence strength 0.692
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44