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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

21%

Santa Clara

4.65

27%

Draw

3.66

51%

SC Braga

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.21

1.41

SC Braga xG

21%
27%
51%
Santa ClaraDrawSC Braga

4.65

21%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

25%

Santa Clara

4.08

45%

SC Braga

2.24

Win to Nil

5%

Santa Clara

18.98

23%

SC Braga

4.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 15.4 10.8 5.1 1.8 0.5
1 8.8 12.4 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 3.6 5.0 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
3 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.805
λ Away (xG) 1.406
Total xG 2.211
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.127
Santa Clara attack strength 0.747
Santa Clara defence strength 1.009
SC Braga attack strength 1.236
SC Braga defence strength 0.737
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64