Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

36%

Santa Clara

2.76

29%

Draw

3.46

35%

Guimaraes

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.60

1.28

Guimaraes xG

36%
29%
35%
Santa ClaraDrawGuimaraes

2.76

36%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

28%

Santa Clara

3.61

27%

Guimaraes

3.73

Win to Nil

10%

Santa Clara

9.96

9%

Guimaraes

10.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.8 12.5 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.3 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.316
λ Away (xG) 1.285
Total xG 2.601
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.178
Santa Clara attack strength 0.757
Santa Clara defence strength 1.090
Guimaraes attack strength 1.001
Guimaraes defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58