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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

35%

Santa Clara

2.86

31%

Draw

3.21

34%

Estoril

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.20

1.09

Estoril xG

35%
31%
34%
Santa ClaraDrawEstoril

2.86

35%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

34%

Santa Clara

2.98

33%

Estoril

3.04

Win to Nil

12%

Santa Clara

8.53

11%

Estoril

8.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 12.1 6.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.3 13.4 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.8 7.5 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.5 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.204
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.175
Santa Clara attack strength 0.681
Santa Clara defence strength 0.867
Estoril attack strength 1.072
Estoril defence strength 1.166
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51