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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

30%

Santa Clara

3.33

28%

Draw

3.60

42%

Benfica

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.53

1.40

Benfica xG

30%
28%
42%
Santa ClaraDrawBenfica

3.33

30%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

25%

Santa Clara

4.03

32%

Benfica

3.12

Win to Nil

7%

Santa Clara

13.44

14%

Benfica

7.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 11.1 7.7 3.6 1.3 0.3
1 9.0 12.6 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.1 7.2 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.0 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.138
λ Away (xG) 1.395
Total xG 2.533
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 1.194
Santa Clara attack strength 0.817
Santa Clara defence strength 1.017
Benfica attack strength 1.148
Benfica defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 55