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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

47%

Santa Clara

2.11

29%

Draw

3.47

24%

AVS

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.61

1.05

AVS xG

47%
29%
24%
Santa ClaraDrawAVS

2.11

47%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

35%

Santa Clara

2.86

21%

AVS

4.76

Win to Nil

17%

Santa Clara

6.03

5%

AVS

20.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.7 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.0 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.560
λ Away (xG) 1.050
Total xG 2.610
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.233
Santa Clara attack strength 0.810
Santa Clara defence strength 0.988
AVS attack strength 0.862
AVS defence strength 1.499
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42