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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

53%

Rio Ave

1.90

26%

Draw

3.91

22%

Tondela

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.73

1.02

Tondela xG

53%
26%
22%
Rio AveDrawTondela

1.90

53%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

36%

Rio Ave

2.78

18%

Tondela

5.55

Win to Nil

19%

Rio Ave

5.26

4%

Tondela

25.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 11.4 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1
4 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.714
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 2.735
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.222
Rio Ave attack strength 1.011
Rio Ave defence strength 1.166
Tondela attack strength 0.717
Tondela defence strength 1.295
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 7