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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

16%

Rio Ave

6.45

22%

Draw

4.53

62%

Sporting CP

1.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.2%

Away win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.79

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.65

1.85

Sporting CP xG

16%
22%
62%
Rio AveDrawSporting CP

6.45

16%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

1.60

62%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

16%

Rio Ave

6.37

45%

Sporting CP

2.21

Win to Nil

2%

Rio Ave

41.05

28%

Sporting CP

3.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 13.1 12.2 7.5 3.5 1.3
1 5.6 10.4 9.7 6.0 2.8 1.0
2 2.2 4.1 3.8 2.4 1.1 0.4
3 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.794
λ Away (xG) 1.851
Total xG 2.645
League avg home goals 1.479
League avg away goals 1.137
Rio Ave attack strength 0.734
Rio Ave defence strength 1.169
Sporting CP attack strength 1.392
Sporting CP defence strength 0.731
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66