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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Rio Ave
0:3
FT

Sporting CP

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT
Analysis Predict Form H2H Trading 📰 Report 💬 Comment 📡 Chat 📝 Notes

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

28%

Rio Ave

3.53

22%

Draw

4.57

50%

Sporting CP

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

3.75

2.15

Sporting CP xG

28%
22%
50%
Rio AveDrawSporting CP

3.53

28%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.46

Clean Sheet

12%

Rio Ave

8.57

20%

Sporting CP

4.96

Win to Nil

3%

Rio Ave

30.24

10%

Sporting CP

9.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 5.1 5.4 3.9 2.1 0.9
1 3.8 8.1 8.7 6.2 3.3 1.4
2 3.0 6.5 7.0 5.0 2.7 1.1
3 1.6 3.5 3.7 2.7 1.4 0.6
4 0.6 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score

▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.602
λ Away (xG) 2.148
Total xG 3.750
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.195
Rio Ave attack strength 1.156
Rio Ave defence strength 1.114
Sporting CP attack strength 1.615
Sporting CP defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51