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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

33%

Rio Ave

2.99

28%

Draw

3.56

38%

Santa Clara

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.52

1.31

Santa Clara xG

33%
28%
38%
Rio AveDrawSanta Clara

2.99

33%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

27%

Rio Ave

3.72

30%

Santa Clara

3.35

Win to Nil

9%

Rio Ave

11.10

11%

Santa Clara

8.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.5 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.7 12.7 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.9 7.7 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.209
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.330
Rio Ave attack strength 0.963
Rio Ave defence strength 1.218
Santa Clara attack strength 0.810
Santa Clara defence strength 0.956
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45