Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

41%

Rio Ave

2.41

28%

Draw

3.57

31%

Santa Clara

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.32

1.05

Santa Clara xG

41%
28%
31%
Rio AveDrawSanta Clara

2.41

41%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

35%

Rio Ave

2.85

28%

Santa Clara

3.55

Win to Nil

15%

Rio Ave

6.89

9%

Santa Clara

11.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 10.3 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.1 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 8.3 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.268
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.316
League avg home goals 1.266
League avg away goals 1.191
Rio Ave attack strength 1.051
Rio Ave defence strength 1.267
Santa Clara attack strength 0.694
Santa Clara defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 29