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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

57%

Rio Ave

1.74

23%

Draw

4.32

19%

Nacional

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.80

0.97

Nacional xG

57%
23%
19%
Rio AveDrawNacional

1.74

57%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

38%

Rio Ave

2.63

16%

Nacional

6.23

Win to Nil

22%

Rio Ave

4.59

3%

Nacional

32.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 10.8 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.2 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.830
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.798
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.108
Rio Ave attack strength 1.175
Rio Ave defence strength 1.176
Nacional attack strength 0.743
Nacional defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 15