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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

29%

Rio Ave

3.49

27%

Draw

3.75

45%

Moreirense

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.48

1.41

Moreirense xG

29%
27%
45%
Rio AveDrawMoreirense

3.49

29%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

24%

Rio Ave

4.10

34%

Moreirense

2.92

Win to Nil

7%

Rio Ave

14.31

15%

Moreirense

6.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.8 8.3 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 9.0 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.8 6.8 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.072
λ Away (xG) 1.410
Total xG 2.482
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.212
Rio Ave attack strength 0.745
Rio Ave defence strength 1.269
Moreirense attack strength 0.916
Moreirense defence strength 0.927
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55