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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

38%

Rio Ave

2.62

29%

Draw

3.44

33%

Guimaraes

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.48

1.18

Guimaraes xG

38%
29%
33%
Rio AveDrawGuimaraes

2.62

38%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

31%

Rio Ave

3.27

27%

Guimaraes

3.67

Win to Nil

12%

Rio Ave

8.55

9%

Guimaraes

11.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.9 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.299
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 2.483
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.294
Rio Ave attack strength 0.958
Rio Ave defence strength 1.191
Guimaraes attack strength 0.768
Guimaraes defence strength 1.033
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47