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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

39%

Rio Ave

2.57

25%

Draw

3.95

36%

GIL Vicente

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.79

1.36

GIL Vicente xG

39%
25%
36%
Rio AveDrawGIL Vicente

2.57

39%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

26%

Rio Ave

3.89

24%

GIL Vicente

4.17

Win to Nil

10%

Rio Ave

10.01

9%

GIL Vicente

11.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.4 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.8 12.0 8.1 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.3 8.5 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.0 4.1 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.428
λ Away (xG) 1.359
Total xG 2.787
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.217
Rio Ave attack strength 1.080
Rio Ave defence strength 1.144
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.976
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67