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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

29%

Rio Ave

3.48

25%

Draw

3.94

46%

FC Porto

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.68

1.53

FC Porto xG

29%
25%
46%
Rio AveDrawFC Porto

3.48

29%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

22%

Rio Ave

4.61

32%

FC Porto

3.17

Win to Nil

6%

Rio Ave

16.04

14%

FC Porto

6.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 10.4 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5
1 7.9 12.1 9.2 4.7 1.8 0.5
2 4.6 7.0 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.155
λ Away (xG) 1.528
Total xG 2.683
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.230
Rio Ave attack strength 1.105
Rio Ave defence strength 1.065
FC Porto attack strength 1.167
FC Porto defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 39