Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Casa Pia Win

34%

Rio Ave

2.90

27%

Draw

3.74

39%

Casa Pia

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.75

1.42

Casa Pia xG

34%
27%
39%
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia

2.90

34%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

24%

Rio Ave

4.14

27%

Casa Pia

3.76

Win to Nil

8%

Rio Ave

12.03

10%

Casa Pia

9.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 9.1 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 8.5 12.1 8.6 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.6 8.0 5.7 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.325
λ Away (xG) 1.421
Total xG 2.746
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.281
Rio Ave attack strength 0.826
Rio Ave defence strength 1.188
Casa Pia attack strength 0.934
Casa Pia defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50