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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

18%

Rio Ave

5.66

21%

Draw

4.73

61%

Benfica

1.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

10.3%

Away win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.96

2.00

Benfica xG

18%
21%
61%
Rio AveDrawBenfica

5.66

18%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

1.63

61%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

14%

Rio Ave

7.35

38%

Benfica

2.64

Win to Nil

2%

Rio Ave

41.63

23%

Benfica

4.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 10.3 10.3 6.8 3.4 1.4
1 5.0 10.0 10.0 6.6 3.3 1.3
2 2.4 4.8 4.8 3.2 1.6 0.6
3 0.8 1.6 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.969
λ Away (xG) 1.995
Total xG 2.964
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.253
Rio Ave attack strength 0.948
Rio Ave defence strength 1.142
Benfica attack strength 1.394
Benfica defence strength 0.705
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51