Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

56%

Rio Ave

1.78

24%

Draw

4.13

20%

AVS

5.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.65

0.92

AVS xG

56%
24%
20%
Rio AveDrawAVS

1.78

56%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

5.12

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

40%

Rio Ave

2.51

18%

AVS

5.64

Win to Nil

22%

Rio Ave

4.46

3%

AVS

28.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.2 11.2 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.649
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.199
Rio Ave attack strength 1.080
Rio Ave defence strength 1.187
AVS attack strength 0.646
AVS defence strength 1.147
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 21