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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

49%

Rio Ave

2.03

24%

Draw

4.15

27%

Arouca

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.85

1.17

Arouca xG

49%
24%
27%
Rio AveDrawArouca

2.03

49%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

31%

Rio Ave

3.23

19%

Arouca

5.39

Win to Nil

15%

Rio Ave

6.53

5%

Arouca

20.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.7 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 9.7 11.3 6.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.2 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.4 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.684
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 2.855
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.253
Rio Ave attack strength 0.857
Rio Ave defence strength 1.110
Arouca attack strength 0.842
Arouca defence strength 1.275
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53