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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

40%

Rio Ave

2.52

26%

Draw

3.80

34%

Alverca

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.61

1.24

Alverca xG

40%
26%
34%
Rio AveDrawAlverca

2.52

40%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

29%

Rio Ave

3.46

26%

Alverca

3.92

Win to Nil

11%

Rio Ave

8.71

9%

Alverca

11.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.242
Total xG 2.607
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.148
Rio Ave attack strength 0.758
Rio Ave defence strength 1.195
Alverca attack strength 0.906
Alverca defence strength 1.174
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 27