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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

30%

Nacional

3.36

24%

Draw

4.24

47%

SC Braga

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Nacional xG

Total xG

3.04

1.72

SC Braga xG

30%
24%
47%
NacionalDrawSC Braga

3.36

30%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

18%

Nacional

5.57

27%

SC Braga

3.77

Win to Nil

5%

Nacional

18.73

12%

SC Braga

8.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 8.2 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
1 6.3 10.9 9.3 5.3 2.3 0.8
2 4.2 7.2 6.2 3.5 1.5 0.5
3 1.9 3.2 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.327
λ Away (xG) 1.717
Total xG 3.044
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.187
Nacional attack strength 1.041
Nacional defence strength 1.071
SC Braga attack strength 1.350
SC Braga defence strength 0.824
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57