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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

37%

Nacional

2.69

26%

Draw

3.90

37%

GIL Vicente

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Nacional xG

Total xG

2.73

1.37

GIL Vicente xG

37%
26%
37%
NacionalDrawGIL Vicente

2.69

37%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

26%

Nacional

3.92

26%

GIL Vicente

3.91

Win to Nil

9%

Nacional

10.56

10%

GIL Vicente

10.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.3
1 8.9 12.2 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.3 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 1.366
Total xG 2.729
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.221
Nacional attack strength 1.012
Nacional defence strength 1.124
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.996
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.984
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34