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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

16%

Nacional

6.08

25%

Draw

4.02

59%

FC Porto

1.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.8%

Away win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Nacional xG

Total xG

2.56

1.74

FC Porto xG

16%
25%
59%
NacionalDrawFC Porto

6.08

16%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

1.70

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

17%

Nacional

5.71

44%

FC Porto

2.26

Win to Nil

3%

Nacional

34.72

26%

FC Porto

3.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 13.5 11.8 6.8 3.0 1.0
1 6.3 11.0 9.6 5.6 2.4 0.8
2 2.6 4.5 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.3
3 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.815
λ Away (xG) 1.743
Total xG 2.558
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.204
Nacional attack strength 0.702
Nacional defence strength 1.042
FC Porto attack strength 1.389
FC Porto defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 50