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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

31%

Nacional

3.23

28%

Draw

3.57

41%

Famalicao

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Nacional xG

Total xG

2.69

1.46

Famalicao xG

31%
28%
41%
NacionalDrawFamalicao

3.23

31%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

23%

Nacional

4.28

29%

Famalicao

3.44

Win to Nil

7%

Nacional

13.85

12%

Famalicao

8.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 9.9 7.2 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 8.4 12.2 8.9 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.2 7.5 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.1 3.1 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.235
λ Away (xG) 1.455
Total xG 2.690
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.149
Nacional attack strength 0.923
Nacional defence strength 1.089
Famalicao attack strength 1.162
Famalicao defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57