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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Nacional Win
51%
1.95
27%
3.64
21%
4.71
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
0 – 0
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
Nacional xG
Total xG
2.19
0.79
Estrela xG
NacionalDrawEstrela
1.95
51%
Home win
3.64
27%
Draw
4.71
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.42
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
45%
2.21
25%
4.06
Win to Nil
23%
4.31
5%
19.09
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.6 | 12.4 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.9 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.400
λ Away (xG)
0.793
Total xG
2.193
League avg home goals
1.346
League avg away goals
1.172
Nacional attack strength
1.068
Nacional defence strength
1.042
Estrela attack strength
0.649
Estrela defence strength
0.974
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
27 / 61