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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Nacional Win
46%
2.16
23%
4.35
31%
3.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 2
7.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.95
Nacional xG
Total xG
3.53
1.58
Estoril xG
NacionalDrawEstoril
2.16
46%
Home win
4.35
23%
Draw
3.24
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
47%
Over 3.5
2.13
53%
Under 3.5
1.89
28%
Over 4.5
3.57
72%
Under 4.5
1.39
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.46
31%
BTTS No
3.19
Clean Sheet
21%
4.84
14%
7.06
Win to Nil
10%
10.48
4%
22.88
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.954
λ Away (xG)
1.577
Total xG
3.531
League avg home goals
1.496
League avg away goals
1.188
Nacional attack strength
1.035
Nacional defence strength
1.082
Estoril attack strength
1.227
Estoril defence strength
1.263
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59