🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
13%
7.64
23%
4.26
63%
1.58
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.0%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
12.5%
Away win
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Nacional xG
Total xG
2.70
1.93
Benfica xG
NacionalDrawBenfica
7.64
13%
Home win
4.26
23%
Draw
1.58
63%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.12
53%
BTTS No
1.89
Clean Sheet
15%
6.86
46%
2.16
Win to Nil
2%
52.42
29%
3.41
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 13.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.772
λ Away (xG)
1.926
Total xG
2.698
League avg home goals
1.334
League avg away goals
1.325
Nacional attack strength
0.913
Nacional defence strength
1.204
Benfica attack strength
1.207
Benfica defence strength
0.634
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45