🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sporting CP Win
20%
4.99
23%
4.42
57%
1.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
10.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
0 – 2
10.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.99
Moreirense xG
Total xG
2.84
1.85
Sporting CP xG
MoreirenseDrawSporting CP
4.99
20%
Home win
4.42
23%
Draw
1.74
57%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.89
47%
BTTS No
2.13
Clean Sheet
16%
6.33
37%
2.70
Win to Nil
3%
31.61
21%
4.71
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 2.9 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.994
λ Away (xG)
1.846
Total xG
2.840
League avg home goals
1.550
League avg away goals
1.212
Moreirense attack strength
0.910
Moreirense defence strength
1.112
Sporting CP attack strength
1.370
Sporting CP defence strength
0.704
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56