Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

20%

Moreirense

5.06

23%

Draw

4.27

57%

SC Braga

1.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

0 – 2

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.68

1.75

SC Braga xG

20%
23%
57%
MoreirenseDrawSC Braga

5.06

20%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

1.76

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

17%

Moreirense

5.77

40%

SC Braga

2.53

Win to Nil

3%

Moreirense

29.22

22%

SC Braga

4.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 12.0 10.5 6.1 2.7 0.9
1 6.4 11.1 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 2.9 5.2 4.5 2.6 1.2 0.4
3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.928
λ Away (xG) 1.753
Total xG 2.681
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.148
Moreirense attack strength 0.719
Moreirense defence strength 1.134
SC Braga attack strength 1.346
SC Braga defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 60