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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Moreirense Win
45%
2.21
29%
3.44
26%
3.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
12.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.25
Moreirense xG
Total xG
2.11
0.86
Nacional xG
MoreirenseDrawNacional
2.21
45%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
3.90
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.42
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
42%
2.37
29%
3.49
Win to Nil
19%
5.24
7%
13.62
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.1 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.251
λ Away (xG)
0.864
Total xG
2.115
League avg home goals
1.252
League avg away goals
1.185
Moreirense attack strength
0.954
Moreirense defence strength
1.132
Nacional attack strength
0.644
Nacional defence strength
1.048
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 30