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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Moreirense Win
43%
2.33
30%
3.29
27%
3.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.7%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.7%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
Moreirense xG
Total xG
1.99
0.84
Estrela xG
MoreirenseDrawEstrela
2.33
43%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
3.74
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.57
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
32%
3.16
Win to Nil
18%
5.41
8%
11.82
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.7 | 13.2 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.150
λ Away (xG)
0.841
Total xG
1.991
League avg home goals
1.465
League avg away goals
1.133
Moreirense attack strength
0.697
Moreirense defence strength
0.989
Estrela attack strength
0.751
Estrela defence strength
1.127
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 65