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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Moreirense Win
48%
2.09
30%
3.31
22%
4.54
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
12.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Moreirense xG
Total xG
2.11
0.80
Estrela xG
MoreirenseDrawEstrela
2.09
48%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
4.54
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.43
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
27%
3.71
Win to Nil
21%
4.67
6%
16.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.9 | 12.7 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.310
λ Away (xG)
0.801
Total xG
2.111
League avg home goals
1.346
League avg away goals
1.139
Moreirense attack strength
1.015
Moreirense defence strength
1.088
Estrela attack strength
0.647
Estrela defence strength
0.959
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57