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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

50%

Moreirense

2.01

25%

Draw

3.95

25%

AVS

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.59

1.03

AVS xG

50%
25%
25%
MoreirenseDrawAVS

2.01

50%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Moreirense

2.79

21%

AVS

4.77

Win to Nil

18%

Moreirense

5.61

5%

AVS

19.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 12.0 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.4 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.9 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.588
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.152
Moreirense attack strength 0.833
Moreirense defence strength 1.056
AVS attack strength 0.844
AVS defence strength 1.280
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67