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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

28%

Guimaraes

3.52

26%

Draw

3.91

46%

SC Braga

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.77

1.58

SC Braga xG

28%
26%
46%
GuimaraesDrawSC Braga

3.52

28%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

21%

Guimaraes

4.85

30%

SC Braga

3.29

Win to Nil

6%

Guimaraes

17.08

14%

SC Braga

7.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.9 7.8 4.1 1.6 0.5
1 7.5 11.8 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.4 7.0 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.8 2.8 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.192
λ Away (xG) 1.580
Total xG 2.772
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.192
Guimaraes attack strength 1.297
Guimaraes defence strength 1.125
SC Braga attack strength 1.178
SC Braga defence strength 0.666
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55